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Science/Engineering Statistical Mechanics, Third Edition
Science/Engineering Essentials of Toxic Chemical Risk: Science and Society
Science/Engineering Telefoncoaching: So machen Sie aus Ihren Mitarbeitern Telefonprofis
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Science/Engineering Stochastik für Einsteiger: Eine Einführung in die faszinierende Welt des Zufalls. Mit über 220 Übungsaufgaben und Lösungen {Repost}
Science/Engineering Testtheorie und Fragebogenkonstruktion (Springer-Lehrbuch)
Science/Engineering Centrifugal Pumps, 2nd Edition
Science/Engineering Computational Intelligence for Modelling and Prediction (Studies in Computational Intelligence) 1 edition {Repost}
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Science/Engineering Introduction to Biophotonics (repost)
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Science/Engineering Advances in Chemical Physics - Volume 15: Stochastic Processes in Chemical Physics
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Science/Engineering A Practical Handbook of Preparative HPLC by Donald A. Wellings (Repost)
Science/Engineering Reviews of Environmental Contamination and Toxicology 184 by George W. Ware
Science/Engineering Essentials of Toxic Chemical Risk: Science and Society
Science/Engineering Telefoncoaching: So machen Sie aus Ihren Mitarbeitern Telefonprofis
Science/Engineering Wireless Communications (Wiley - IEEE)
Science/Engineering Posttraumatische Belastungsstörungen (German Edition)
Science/Engineering Lernplattformen in Schulen: Ansätze für E-Learning und Blended Learning in Präsenzklassen (1 Auflage)
Science/Engineering Stochastik für Einsteiger: Eine Einführung in die faszinierende Welt des Zufalls. Mit über 220 Übungsaufgaben und Lösungen {Repost}
Science/Engineering Testtheorie und Fragebogenkonstruktion (Springer-Lehrbuch)
Science/Engineering Centrifugal Pumps, 2nd Edition
Science/Engineering Computational Intelligence for Modelling and Prediction (Studies in Computational Intelligence) 1 edition {Repost}
Science/Engineering Networks, Crowds, and Markets: Reasoning About a Highly Connected World {repost}
Science/Engineering Introduction to Biophotonics (repost)
Science/Engineering The Art and Science of Psychotherapy (repost)
Science/Engineering Advances in Chemical Physics - Volume 15: Stochastic Processes in Chemical Physics
Science/Engineering "Emulsion Science: Basic Principles" (repost)
Science/Engineering Elementary Principles of Chemical Processes 3rd edition
Science/Engineering Boundary Element Analysis (repost)
Science/Engineering Collection of books on physics 2
Science/Engineering A Practical Handbook of Preparative HPLC by Donald A. Wellings (Repost)
Science/Engineering Reviews of Environmental Contamination and Toxicology 184 by George W. Ware
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Science/Engineering Uncertain Judgements: Eliciting Experts' Probabilities
Posted on 2010-03-15
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More Anthony O'Hagan, Caitlin E. Buck, Alireza Daneshkhah, J. Richard Eiser, Paul H. Garthwaite, "Uncertain Judgements: Eliciting Experts' Probabilities" Elicitation is the process of extracting expert knowledge about some unknown quantity or quantities, and formulating that information as a probability distribution. Elicitation is important in situations, such as modelling the safety of nuclear installations or assessing the risk of terrorist attacks, where expert knowledge is essentially the only source of good information. It also plays a major role in other contexts by augmenting scarce observational data, through the use of Bayesian statistical methods. However, elicitation is not a simple task, and practitioners need to be aware of a wide range of research findings in order to elicit expert judgements accurately and reliably. Uncertain Judgements introduces the area, before guiding the reader through the study of appropriate elicitation methods, illustrated by a variety of multi-disciplinary examples. This is achieved by: * Presenting a methodological framework for the elicitation of expert knowledge incorporating findings from both statistical and psychological research. * Detailing techniques for the elicitation of a wide range of standard distributions, appropriate to the most common types of quantities. * Providing a comprehensive review of the available literature and pointing to the best practice methods and future research needs. * Using examples from many disciplines, including statistics, psychology, engineering and health sciences. * Including an extensive glossary of statistical and psychological terms. An ideal source and guide for statisticians and psychologists with interests in expert judgement or practical applications of Bayesian analysis, Uncertain Judgements will also benefit decision-makers, risk analysts, engineers and researchers in the medical and social sciences. Enjoy this great book! Brought to you by SMIRK Easy-Share Mirror:
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