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Network Technologies for Networked Terrorists. Assessing the Value of Information and Communication Technologies to Modern Terrorist Organizations" by Bruce W. Don, David R. Frelinger, Scott Gerwehr, Eric Landree, Brian A. Jackson

This report analyzes terrorist groups’ use of advanced information and communication technologies in efforts to plan, coordinate, and command their operations. The goal of the investigation reported here is to identify which network technologies might be used to support the activities that terrorists must perform to conduct successful operations, understand terrorists’ decisions about when and under what conditions particular technologies will be used and determine the implications of these insights for efforts to combat terrorism.

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The information presented in this report should be of interest to homeland security policymakers because it can be used to guide research, development, testing, and evaluation of techniques for collecting counterterrorist intelligence and developing measures to combat terrorism.

The results of this analysis may also help inform technology and regulatory policy regarding the development, use, and management of systems that terrorists could use.

Table of Contents

Preface

Figures

Tables

Summary

Abbreviations

CHAPTER ONE

Introduction

The Scope and Purpose of the Analysis

Research Approach

What Could Terrorists Do with Network Technology?

Which Network Technologies Are Most Attractive to Terrorists? .

How Would Specific Network Technologies Fit Within Terrorist Groups’ Broader Approaches to Acquiring and Using Technologies? .

What Should Security Forces Do to Counter This?

What Conclusions and Recommendations Can Be Drawn from This Analysis?

How This Report Is Organized

CHAPTER TWO

What Could Terrorists Do with Network Technology?

Recruiting

Current State-of-the-Art Recruiting

The Future of Recruiting

Acquiring Resources

Current State-of-the-Art Resource Acquisition

The Future of Resource Acquisition

Training 17

Current State-of-the-Art Training

The Future of Training

Creating False Identities, Forgery, and Other Deception

Current State-of-the-Art of Deception

The Future of Forgery and Other Deception

Reconnaissance and Surveillance

Current State-of-the-Art Reconnaissance and Surveillance

The Future of Reconnaissance and Surveillance

Planning and Targeting

Current State-of-the-Art Planning and Targeting

The Future of Planning and Targeting

Communication

Current State-of-the-Art Communication Practices

Future Communication Technologies

Future Communication Practices and Terrorist Activities

Overall Effects of Changes in Communication Technology

Attack Operations

Current State-of-the-Art Operations

The Future of Terrorist Operations

Propaganda and Persuasion

Current State-of-the-Art Propaganda and Persuasion

The Future of Propaganda and Persuasion

Which of These Network Technologies Are Potentially Most Attractive to Terrorists?

Network Technologies That Can Enhance Strategic or Enabling Activities

Network Technologies That Can Enhance the Direct Outcomes of Attacks

CHAPTER THREE

Security Force Responses to Terrorists’ Acquisition and Use of Network Technologies

The Role of Specific Network Technologies Within Terrorist Groups’ Technology Strategies

Benefits and Risks from Network Technology Use

Benefits and Risks of Using Network Technology for Terrorist Groups

Benefits and Risks to Security Forces of Terrorist Use of Network Technology

Options for Countering Terrorist Use of Network Technologies

Evaluating the Countermeasure Options

Network Technologies Within Specialized Technology Strategies

Network Technologies Within Versatility- and Variety-Based Strategies

Network Technologies Pursued Opportunistically

Countermeasure Approach Suggested by the Evaluation

CHAPTER FOUR

Conclusions and Recommendations

Conclusions

Major Breakthroughs in Terrorist Attack Operations?

Versatility, Variety, Efficiency, and Effectiveness

Precluding Terrorists from Getting Technology and Developing Direct Counters

Exploitation Seems the More Promising Option

Security Services’ Role

Recommendations

Design a System to Address Terrorist Use of Network Technologies

Acquire and Retain People Who Can Make the System Work

Take the Initial Steps Needed to Implement Such a System Promptly

Bibliography

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