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Fomenko A.T. Empirico-Statistical Analysis of Narrative Material and its Applications to Historical Dating

This book presents new empirico-statistical methods for the discovery of dependences between texts, on which we base our dating methods. As one of various possible applications, the datings (or dates) of certain events described in ancient and medieval texts are analyzed.

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One of the most important problems arising here is to recognize dependent text, i.e., texts which have a measure of "resemblance", arising from some kind of "common origin". Clearly, such problems are exceedingly complicated, and therefore the appearance of new empirico-statistical recognition methods which, along with the classical approaches, may prove useful in concrete studies (e.g., source determination) is welcome.

The present book by A.T. Fomenko, professor of pure mathematics, is mainly aimed at developing such new methods to be applied to recognizing dependent and independent narrative texts and dating them (with respect to texts with known reliable dates).

The author proposes a new approach to the problem of recognizing dependent and independent narrative (historical) texts based on the several new empirico-statistical models (regularities) which he has discovered during his extensive statistical emperiments involving various quantitative characteristics of concrete texts, chronicles, originals, and so forth. Verification of these models (statistical hypotheses) on concrete chronicles confirmed the efficacy of the models and made it possible to put forward new methos for dating texts (more precisely, for dating events described in the texts).

           

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